Tagged: Stats

The 7-3 Loss

Bummer. Things didn’t go as planned today. I can’t blame Jaret Wright for the loss. Every pitcher has a bad game. He’s actually strung together a number of very respectable starts in the past few weeks. I’d even venture to say he had a streak of solid outings that we couldn’t complain about. I remember the game when we roughed up Beckett and he’s a pretty good pitcher. So, as awful and unhelpful as 5 runs in less than 3 innings is, it isn’t entirely his fault and I don’t expect it to become a motif in Jaret’s game. By the way, Chacon didn’t inspire confidence either and I assume Joe won’t use him unless we’ve got a 10 run cushion.

The good news from this loss is that Villone was fantastic yet again, which gave Farnsworth, Proctor and Mo a well deserved day of rest. And also, A-Rod, you magnificent dude, future home run king and Hall of Famer. Congrats, man! You’ve reached the big 2-0-0-0 and 4-5-0. We now have 4 players in the 2,000 hit club (Williams, Jeter, A-Rod and Sheffield). That’s pretty amazing, right? I don’t know of any other team who can currently boast that.

Tonight, however, the Yankees offense was tediously low key and unexcited. A number of missed opportunities and a lack of opportunities at the plate created the loss. Except for A-Rod’s home run, our bats were disabled, owned, wire-tapped and sent to prison by Burnett. Tonight A.J. enjoyed an impressive performance and was formidable in the eyes of the Red Sox and Yankees.

I think that one of the keys to recent failures is Giambi’s power outage this month. He’s hitting .183 in the month of July and only has 4 home runs and 14 RBI compared to his June numbers of 11 HRs and 23 RBIs. A-Rod (believe it or not) is having a much better July than Mr. Giambino. His total of 5 home runs ain’t special, neither are his 16 RBI, but he is hitting .323 and has a slugging % of .600, which is drastically higher than Giambi’s SLG of .383. At the beginning of May Giambi had an OBP as high as .545. Now it’s shrunk to .405.  Another curious July statistic is their batting average with runners in scoring position. If I read the stats correctly (I suggest you check for yourself, because I’m very surprised by these numbers), in the month of July A-Rod is hitting .368 with RISP. Giambi’s hitting .227. BIG DIFFERENCE. Maybe the boos should be reserved for the actual slugger who isn’t slugging. If the offense is to recover from its slumber, Giambi must be the catalyst.

I don’t suggest booing Giambi though. I don’t approve booing any player. FYI.

Anyway, it’s crucial the Yankees split the series. Wang will be the author of a perfect game tomorrow and whoever starts after him (Ponson?), will essentially do the same thing.

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Yanks 1 – D’Rays 0

The Mariano Rivera Career Saves Counter: 398

Not much to say about tonight except that Wright and our bullpen were awesome. One curious item I discovered in the boxscore was the number of strikes and balls in Wright’s pitch total. I’d assume that striking out 10 and walking no one in 6 innings would result in a noticeable disparity between the ball and strike totals. But out of Wright’s 91 total pitches, only 56 were strikes. That figure struck me as very low considering he recorded 10 Ks and 0 BBs. Through 6 frames he scattered 35 balls, which, for simplicity’s sake, averages out to roughly 6 balls an inning. And throwing only 6 balls each inning seems like a very good ratio. So I guess my initial bewilderment was misled and I’ve just never studied that stat before. And like usual Mariano was very economical, needing only 12 pitches to record 3 outs. I think I might start keeping track of the number of pitches certain closers need to finish an inning, because it seems to me that a few closers (Wagner and Isringhausen for example) need more than 20 pitches on a regular basis to record 3 outs. And I think guys like Mariano who don’t stack up high pitch counts are better closers. But that’s just a thought.

While I’m on the subject, you guys know I love closers and I like keeping tabs on what they’re doing all over the game, so tonight I’ll blog about an idea I’ve pondered before. I’m not out to prove anything here and I have no idea what any of this even means, but I think the relation between save opportunities and innings pitched is very revealing of a closer’s ability. In the following chart I listed every major league closer I could think of and their save opportunity vs. their innings pitched stats. I’d tend to believe that closers with more SVOs would naturally have more IPs, but as the numbers show, that isn’t the case. Keep in mind these stats were current as of yesterday and have changed by now.

NL Closers
Baez            9/16 SVO,    42 1/3 IP
Cordero        13/15 SVO,  40 1/3 IP
Lidge           21/24 SVO,  40 IP
Wagner        17/21 SVO,  39 2/3 IP
Weathers      9/15 SVO,   38 IP
Turnbow       23/29 SVO,  37 2/3 IP
Dempster     13/18 SVO,  36 2/3 IP
Gordon         21/23 SVO,  36 1/3 IP
Isringhausen 25/31 SVO,  36 IP
Fuentes        16/19 SVO,  34 1/3 IP
M. Gonzalez  12/12 SVO,  33 2/3 IP
Hoffman       22/23 SVO,  33 IP
Borowski       15/17 SVO,  32 IP
Valverde       14/17 SVO,  30 2/3 IP
Benitez         9/13 SVO,   21 1/3 IP

AL Closers
Rivera           18/20 SVO,  45 IP
Papelbon       25/27 SVO,  42 2/3 IP
B.J. Ryan       23/24 SVO,  41 2/3 IP
Putz             15/17 SVO,   40 1/3 IP
Burgos          14/22 SVO,   39 2/3 IP
Jenks            26/27 SVO,   38 2/3 IP
Street           19/25 SVO,   37 2/3 IP
Otsuka          16/18 SVO,   36 IP
F. Rodriguez   19/21 SVO,   35 IP
Nathan           15/16 SVO,   35 IP
Ray                20/21 SVO,   34 IP
Jones             22/25 SVO,   33 IP
Wickman         13/16 SVO,  26 IP

I think the most interesting comparison is between Rivera and Isringhausen. Izzy has had 11 more save opportunities than Mo, but has logged 9 fewer innings pitched. Or check out Jones who is tied for 2nd in most SVOs in the AL, but is next to last in IPs. I think that a closer like Rivera who pitches on a more consistent basis and still records the saves is the all-around better pitcher. Some of these closers only enter a game in a save situation and some can only pitch effectively for one inning. The number of saves a closer has collected is a misleading stat too, because closing out a game isn’t too difficult. Think about it: you come on with a three run lead to record 3 outs once or twice or at most three times a week. Due to the ups and downs of the schedule, you might not pitch for 6 or 7 games. So you’re well rested when all you need to do is pitch one inning. Now, hear me out, I don’t at all believe that a closer’s job is a piece of cake. I admire and appreciate the rare mental and pitching talent it takes to handle those pressure situations. Nevertheless, I think that 30 or 40 saves for one season should be expected of every closer. Pitching like that every year though is where they drop like flies. Sustaining that success is what I use to evaluate a closer. So while Papelbon has been spectacular this year, he isn’t in my mind a great closer until he repeats this season about ten times. And splitting time between the closer’s role and a long or short term relief role makes that pitcher more valuable to a team. So while Izzy and Jenks lead the majors with 26 saves each after tonight, they’re pitching far fewer innings than some closers by being limited to only specific situations.

Maybe I’ll continue that train of thought another time. I think there’s more to learn from that discussion, but ’tis enough for one night.

Toronto has lost 5 of their last 6. They’re now 6 games back from first place and 3 behind us. That’s good news for the time being, but the Blue Jays are a team the AL still needs to worry about. Regardless of their next two games and Boston’s outcomes against Chicago, the Yanks really need to sweep Tampa Bay. Starting the second half only one or two games back would be ideal. Or if Boston some how sweeps Chicago, it wouldn’t help to lose anymore ground. It’s gonna be tough against Kazmir though. If we could only knock in one run against Seo who has a 5+ ERA, how are we not going to be no-hit by this phenom? He blanked Boston in a complete game last time out so maybe the baseball gods plan on letting the Yanks tear him up tomorrow.

Fireman Watch
Rivera earned his 19th save of the season. Isringhausen closed out game #26 on the year. Hoffman got save 23 (459th career). Mike Gonzalez now posts a perfect 13/13.

One departing note: I found this an interesting article about official scorers.

Actually, one last question, did anyone know Joey Gathright was traded to Kansas City? It happened recently I think and I missed it.